Showing posts with label trend line. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trend line. Show all posts

Saturday, November 17, 2012

Naked Reversal


A naked reversal is based on nothing more than a trend line break.
It is a 2-step technique:





You first want to draw in a proper trend line. To do so, let me give you a proper definition:

UPWARD TRENDLINE:
From the lowest low to the highest low before the highest high, without cutting through any candle bodies.

DOWNWARD TRENDLINE:
From the highest high to the lowest high before the lowest low, without cutting through any candle bodies.

Also, you would want price action to touch your trend line at least twice, preferably 3 times, in order for it to be a valid trend line.
Once your trend line is on your chart, you wait for a candle to BREAK through that trend line. When this break occurs, you will look at the last candle high, higher than the high of the candle that broke through the trend line. That high will be your entry point.




Vice Versa for short.

  • Wait for a trend line break to the downside
  • Look for the last low, lower than the low of the candle that broke the trend line
  • Place a sell order when that low gets broken.








Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Tom DeMark Trend Line


Technicians use trendlines to identify trends and determine when they end or reverse. The only problem with traditional trendlines is they are subjective — 10 traders could look at a chart and draw 10 different trendlines. Proper trendline application and analysis require consistent, objective rules. The TD-Line technique was developed by Tom DeMark and is detailed in his books The New Science of Technical Analysis (John Wiley & Sons, 1994) and DeMark on Day Trading Options (McGraw-Hill, 1999). The complete methodology includes objective rules for plotting these trendlines, rules for validating them, and rules to determine whether to trade or fade a trendline break


To accomplish this, TD Lines require a trendline to connect “TD Points” (which are more commonly called “pivot” highs or lows, or “swing” highs or lows). A TD Point high is a high preceded and followed by an equal number of lower highs. A TD Point low is the opposite — a low surrounded by an equal number of higher lows. For example, a “Level One” TD Point low has one higher low before and after it; a Level Two TD Point low has two higher lows before it and two higher lows after it, and so on.


TD Lines of different degrees of significance are constructed by connecting TD Point highs or lows of the same degree — i.e., connecting Level Two TD Point lows or connecting Level Three TD Point highs.

For example, to plot a Level One TD Demand Line (Figure 1), which is used to identify support, start from the rightside of the chart and connect the two most recent Level One TD Price Point lows. (Starting from the right side of the chart insures that the most recent price history is being used to identify the trend.) If the TD Demand Line is sloping upward, the current trend is up. A horizontal TD Demand Line reflects a sideways market.
(Figure 1)





A TD Supply Line is plotted using the same procedures. Start from the right side of the chart and look for the two most recent Level One TD Price Point highs. Draw the supply line along these two highs.








Saturday, November 3, 2012

Conventional Trend Line


A conventional trend line is also known as a common sense trend line. The conventional
trend line consists of 3 types of lines mainly.

- Long Term Trend Line (BLACK)

The long term trend line is drawn over a longer period of time. Due to the higher weightage of

each swing high or low, the long term trend line will usually have more power than the
medium and short term trend line. This means that the price will most probably bounce off
the long term trend line for the first few times before it can break through it.














- Medium Term Trend Line (BLUE)

The medium term trend line is simply part of the long term trend line. From the last point of
contact of the long term trend line with the price, you can draw a medium term trend line. As
compared with the long term trend line, the medium term trend line passes through lesser
candles and thus has lesser weightage.















- Short Term Trend Line (RED)

The short term trend line is the most recent trend line and you will be using it to trade most of
the time.








Some of you may think that the long term trend line must be drawn from a higher time frame
and short term trend line is drawn on a lower time frame. In fact, all the long to short term
trend lines are drawn on the same chart


The difference between the various types of trend lines lies in the number of candlesticks or
period that the line passes through. For long term trend line, it has to be drawn over a longer
period of time while the short term trend line is usually drawn over a shorter period of time.
As for the period to draw, there is no specific guideline you should follow.


Rules for Conventional Trend Line:

  • The Best Trend Line Is One That Connects The Most Swing Highs or Lows
  • Once The Support Trend Line Is Broken, It Will Turn Into Resistance Trend Line
  • Once The Resistance Trend Line Is Broken, It Will Turn Into Support Trend Line




Steps to Drawing Your 3 Types of Conventional Trend Line:
Step 1: Shrink your selected time frame to a smaller size until you see the start of your current trend.
If the currency pair you are trading is currently in an up trend, you simply have to shrink your chart
until you can see the beginning of the up trend.

Step 2: If you are in a down trend, look for major swing highs and if you are in an up trend, you should
look at the major swing lows. (To draw a strong trend line, you need to have at least 3 points of
contacts which means that you need at least 3 swing highs or lows)

Step 4: Expand your selected time frame and look for major swing high or low after the last point of
contact for the long term trend line.

Step 5: Connect those swing highs and lows that you have found in step 4 and you will get your
medium term trend line

Step 6: Look at your recent candlesticks and draw the necessary trend line and that will be your short
term trend line










Friday, October 26, 2012

Trend Line (Swing Highs and Lows)

What are Trend Lines? A trend line represents a supply and demand among traders. According to Wikipedia, A trend line is a bounding line for the price movement of a security.
A support trend line is drawn by connecting several swing lows and a resistance trend line is
drawn by connecting several swing highs.
Example of Support Trend Line:





A resistance trend line is drawn by connecting several swing highs
Example of Resistance Trend Line:















So first of all, let me go through with you how to locate a swing high and swing low before we
start to draw a trend line.




Swing high is basically an N-shaped formation with several candles on the left and right side
of a single high candle.








Swing low is basically a V-shaped formation with several candles on the left and right side of
a single low candle.














However we are not interested in all swing highs and lows when drawing a trend line, we are only looking out for those that have more weightage as this will produce trend line that is more significant. Below is the level of weightage for each formation



Weak Swing


Medium Swing


Big Swing






Once you have identified all the medium to big swing highs or lows, you can start to plot your
trend line. There are 2 types of trend lines you can draw and we will be going through all of
them in this book. They are




You need to have a good knowledge of these 2 different trend line drawing methods as you will need to combine them to have a better trading experience.
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